ForecastMind
Markets/Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5
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Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Closes April 9, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Medium confidence · 2 signals
55%FIS
2ppvs market 57%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -2.1pp below current market price; market at 57% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -4.9% ↓, S&P +0.6% ↑, DXY -0.3% ↓.

Signal breakdown

MacroVIX -4.9% ↓, S&P +0.6% ↑, DXY -0.3% ↓
-2.4pp
HistoryUSA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) [recent event]
-1.0pp
Live compute07:05 PM

Polymarket Price

57%YES
43%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

55% / 59%

Spread

3.90pp

Expert Signal

57%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 3.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924061

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 57%, Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5: 43%, Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5: 34%.

Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5

57%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

61% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Current

57% YES (-0.4pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 57%99%
Buy YES@ 57¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 43¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this