Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$120K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
41% / 43%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
30%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Warriors (-4.5)" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $120K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Spread: Warriors (-4.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924073
This event has 6 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5): 46%, Spread: Warriors (-2.5): 34%, Spread: Warriors (-3.5): 31%.
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Trough probability
40% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 9, 2026
Current
40% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this