Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
54% / 58%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939801
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5): 57%, Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5): 57%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 47%.
Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +23.0pp
26% → 49%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
49% YES (+23.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this