Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
42% / 57%
Spread
15.00pp
Expert Signal
42%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 15.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939797
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5): 50%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 50%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 42%.
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this