ForecastMind
Markets/Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline
Share on X

Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

23%YES
78%NO

Volume 24h

$85

Liquidity

$44K

Bid / Ask

20% / 25%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

23%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $85 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1954752

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5: 51%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5: 49%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 47%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 23%99%
Buy YES@ 23¢
Edge

+2.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 78¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this