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Markets/Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Closes April 15, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
8%NO

Volume 24h

$1.8M

Liquidity

$48K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.8M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 15, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1974869

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM : 100%, Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) : 93%, Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) -: 62%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+39.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Biggest move: +40.0pp

53% → 93%

Apr 14, 2026

Current

93% YES (+40.0pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly6.7%
½ Kelly3.3%
Buy NO@ 7¢

-6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 6.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this