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Markets/Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Closes April 15, 2026

Polymarket Price

84%YES
17%NO

Volume 24h

$893K

Liquidity

$206K

Bid / Ask

87% / 88%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

84%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $893K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 84%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 15, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1975707

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM : 100%, Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) -: 84%, Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Ri: 47%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+16.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 84%99%
Buy YES@ 84¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.0%
½ Kelly1.5%
Buy NO@ 17¢

-3.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this