Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Market Price
FM Estimate
95%low confidence · 2 signals
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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5 deadline markets. Combined YES = 353% — 253pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
by May 31, 2026
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $462 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 1.80pp. The market closes on May 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-28). "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1999844