ForecastMind
Markets/Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
Share on X

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?

Market Price

99%YES
1%NO
Vol 24h$11K
Liquidity$29K
Bid / Ask99% / 99%
Spread0.20pp
ClosesMay 14, 2026
✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets5 markets

5 deadline markets. Combined YES = 355% — 255pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

by June 30, 2026

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026

99%
by May 31, 2026

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026

96%
by May 16, 2026

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026

86%

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+1.7pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20pp. The market closes on May 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-29). "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1999845