Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$157
Bid / Ask
44% / 69%
Spread
25.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Nets vs. Trail Blazers
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 25.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691549
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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