Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Market Price
32%YES
68%NO
FM Estimate
30%Vol 24h$28K
Liquidity$37K
Bid / Ask30% / 32%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesMay 31, 2026
Macro fundamentals-2.7pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Why this matters
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Outcome Markets2 markets
2 deadline markets. Market implies ~55% chance none resolve YES.
by May 31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31
32%
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
-9.0pp
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Iran closes its airspace by May 31?" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $28K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "Iran closes its airspace by May 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2133405