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Markets/Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
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Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

19%YES
81%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$229K

Bid / Ask

20% / 20%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

20%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Biggest move: +10.6pp

21% → 32%

Mar 7, 2026

Peak probability

32% YES — highest in period

Mar 7, 2026

Current

20% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 19%99%
Buy YES@ 19¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 81¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553828