Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$75K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2026
31 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Mar 1, 2026
Peak probability
11% YES — highest in period
Mar 17, 2026
Current
9% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553827
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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