Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Closes May 19, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -2.3pp below current market price; market at 24% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -21.3% ↓, S&P +0.4% ↑, DXY -0.2% ↓.
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
23% / 26%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
25%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/837728
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Rick Jackson: 61%, Burt Jones: 25%, Brad Raffensperger: 13%.
Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican pri
Topic Intelligence
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this