Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$71K
Bid / Ask
33% / 37%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
35%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1981373
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: 72%, Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O: 64%, Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5): 13%.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
43% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Trough probability
32% YES — lowest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
59%
Apr 15, 2026
Biggest move: +27.0pp
32% → 59%
Apr 15, 2026
Current
59% YES (+27.0pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this