ForecastMind
Markets/Canadiens vs. Rangers
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Canadiens vs. Rangers

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$675K

Liquidity

$667K

Bid / Ask

53% / 54%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Canadiens vs. Rangers" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $675K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Canadiens vs. Rangers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515651

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5: 80%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5: 59%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: 54%.

Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5
80%
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
59%

Canadiens vs. Rangers

54%
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
49%
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5
28%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

54% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this