ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5
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Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$303K

Bid / Ask

53% / 54%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515652

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5: 100%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: 53%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5: 30%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+21.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

79% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Trough probability

50% YES — lowest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: +50.5pp

50% → 100%

Apr 3, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this