Celtics vs. Heat
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$740K
Liquidity
$624K
Bid / Ask
63% / 64%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
64%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Heat" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $740K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Celtics vs. Heat." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1730077
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Celtics vs. Heat: 64%, Celtics vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline: 61%, Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5: 55%.
Celtics vs. Heat
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
65% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
64% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this