ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Share on X

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Closed April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$99K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

57% / 60%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $99K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1973031

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8: 48%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 42%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9: 41%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-18.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

36%

Apr 14, 2026

Biggest move: -20.0pp

56% → 36%

Apr 14, 2026

Current

36% YES (-20.0pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 60¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this