Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$99K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
57% / 60%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $99K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1973031
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8: 48%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 42%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9: 41%.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
36%
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -20.0pp
56% → 36%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
36% YES (-20.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this