ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner
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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner

Closes April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

84%YES
16%NO

Volume 24h

$542K

Liquidity

$52K

Bid / Ask

25% / 26%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

26%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $542K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939796

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 84%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5): 9%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~7%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Current

48% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 84%99%
Buy YES@ 84¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 16¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this