ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Closes April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

40%YES
61%NO

Volume 24h

$11K

Liquidity

$41K

Bid / Ask

39% / 40%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

40%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939795

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5): 50%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 50%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 42%.

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
50%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner
50%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner
42%

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

40%
Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)
32%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 40%99%
Buy YES@ 40¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 61¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this