ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner
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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner

Closes April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

48%YES
52%NO

Volume 24h

$13K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

46% / 48%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939797

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5): 65%, Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5): 59%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 48%.

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
65%
Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)
59%

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner

48%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 48%99%
Buy YES@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this