Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$900K
Liquidity
$32K
Bid / Ask
49% / 50%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $900K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1776897
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Venue Divergence
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