ForecastMind
Markets/Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
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Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

26%YES
74%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

25% / 27%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

26%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Flames vs. Avalanche

Full event →
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5
78%
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
57%
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
45%
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
26%
Flames vs. Avalanche
23%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

27% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

26% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 26%99%
Buy YES@ 26¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 74¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492910

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.