ForecastMind
Markets/Heat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline
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Heat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline

Closes April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
65%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

34% / 37%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

36%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Heat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972356

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5: 52%, Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5: 52%, Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5: 50%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

36% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Current

36% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 65¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this