Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Market Price
FM Estimate
81%low confidence · 2 signals
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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15 deadline markets. Combined YES = 286% — 186pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
by May 15
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $74K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 84%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-25). "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1300296