Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?
Market Price
FM Estimate
94%low confidence · 2 signals
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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5 deadline markets. Combined YES = 191% — 91pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
by June 30
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-25). "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1992898