Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
31% / 34%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Kings vs. Hawks
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
44% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Trough probability
28% YES — lowest in period
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: -15.5pp
44% → 28%
Mar 29, 2026
Current
28% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1749869
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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