ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
Share on X

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

87%YES
14%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

84% / 91%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

87%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5" at 87% YES / 13% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 87%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 87%, NO 13%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492918

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5: 87%, Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5: 85%, Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5: 70%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

65% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

68% YES (+2.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 87%99%
Buy YES@ 87¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.7%
½ Kelly1.9%
Buy NO@ 14¢

-3.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this