ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
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New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Closed March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$33K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

40% / 43%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

50% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 57¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $33K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1732554