ForecastMind
Markets/Pacers vs. Cavaliers
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Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Closes April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

8%YES
93%NO

Volume 24h

$312K

Liquidity

$529K

Bid / Ask

7% / 8%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

8%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Cavaliers" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $312K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Pacers vs. Cavaliers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1791502

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5: 54%, Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5: 53%, Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5: 50%.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5
54%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5
53%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5
50%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5
47%

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

8%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

8% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Current

8% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 8%99%
Buy YES@ 8¢
Edge

+6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 93¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+6.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this