ForecastMind
Markets/Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
Share on X

Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

89%YES
11%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$46K

Bid / Ask

88% / 90%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

89%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5" at 89% YES / 11% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 89%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 89%, NO 11%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718886

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5: 89%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Te: 72%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5: 72%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

90% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Current

89% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 89%99%
Buy YES@ 89¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 11¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this