ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
Share on X

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Closed April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES
73%NO

Volume 24h

$34K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

21% / 26%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1974117

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: 42%, San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U: 40%, Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5): 30%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-16.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Biggest move: -16.0pp

45% → 28%

Apr 14, 2026

Current

28% YES (-16.0pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 28%99%
Buy YES@ 28¢
Edge

+1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 73¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this