Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Senators vs. Panthers
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$828K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
1.30pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Senators vs. Panthers" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $828K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 1.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Senators vs. Panthers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499911
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5: 100%, Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5: 100%, Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5: 89%.
Senators vs. Panthers
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
63% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
3%
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -59.8pp
63% → 3%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
3% YES (-59.8pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-8.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this