Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$56K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
33% / 40%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
39%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $56K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1794621
This event has 5 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5): 100%, Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5): 56%, Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5): 53%.
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -5.5pp
50% → 44%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
44% YES (-5.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this