Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$31K
Bid / Ask
67% / 70%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
69%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Hornets (-8.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 69%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Spread: Hornets (-8.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1944201
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Spread: Hornets (-8.5): 100%, Spread: Hornets (-13.5): 100%, Spread: Hornets (-12.5): 100%.
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +7.5pp
73% → 81%
Apr 13, 2026
Current
81% YES (+7.5pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this