Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$169K
Liquidity
$60K
Bid / Ask
51% / 52%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
52%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
53% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Raptors (-3.5)" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $169K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Spread: Raptors (-3.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683777
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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