Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$472K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
15% / 21%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $472K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1930135
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.: 50%, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: 40%, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.: 22%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -8.0pp
44% → 36%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
36% YES (-8.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this