Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
31% / 33%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
30%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972308
This event has 5 active outcome markets. San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: 48%, San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U: 43%, Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5): 30%.
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
37% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
37% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this