ForecastMind
Markets/Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
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Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$144K

Liquidity

$200K

Bid / Ask

50% / 52%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Spurs (-8.5)" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $144K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Spread: Spurs (-8.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1873572

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Spread: Spurs (-7.5): 56%, Spread: Spurs (-8.5): 51%.

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
56%

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

51%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

52% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this