Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
18%YES
82%NO
Vol 24h$8K
Liquidity$28K
Bid / Ask16% / 17%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026
Wikipedia Attention
Outcome Markets4 markets
This event has 4 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 60%, June 30, 2026: 39%, May 15, 2026: 18%.
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
18%
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
+4.0pp
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Starmer out by May 15, 2026?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "Starmer out by May 15, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2002685