ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
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Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$96K

Liquidity

$18K

Expert Signal

24%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-44.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

22%

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -34.5pp

56% → 22%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

13% YES (-9.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

-11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly11.1%
½ Kelly5.6%
Buy NO+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 11.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $96K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677312