Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5
Closes March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
18% / 31%
Spread
13.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
36% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: -14.0pp
41% → 27%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
24% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1724982
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