ForecastMind
Markets/Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5
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Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES
70%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

21% / 40%

Spread

19.00pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 19.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1851815

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 49%, Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5: 31%, Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5: 17%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~4%.

Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5
49%

Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5

31%
Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5
17%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+5.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 31%99%
Buy YES@ 31¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 70¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this