Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?
Market Price
FM Estimate
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 6 active outcome markets. June 30: 75%, May 31: 56%, April 30: 14%.
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60pp. The market closes on April 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047434