Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Closes June 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$70
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
35% / 40%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
38%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in…
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
38% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
38% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $70 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/708770
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.