Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 12?
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$6K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 12?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1953305
This event has 22 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 40%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 15%, Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12?: 13%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~11%.
Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this