Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 22?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
9% / 11%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
10%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
March
18 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
11% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
8% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 22?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1678572
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