Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 22?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
22% / 23%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
22%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
March
18 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
30% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -5.0pp
27% → 22%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
22% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 22?" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1678571
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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