ForecastMind
⊘

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 20?
Share on X

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 20?

Closed March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$80K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

2% / 4%

Spread

2.00pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

March

Full event →
above $62,000 on March 21?
100%
above $60,000 on March 21?
100%
above $64,000 on March 21?
100%
above $66,000 on March 21?
100%
above $62,000 on March 22?
100%
above $64,000 on March 22?
99%
above $68,000 on March 21?
97%
above $68,000 on March 22?
96%
above $70,000 on March 21?
83%
above $70,000 on March 22?
70%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
38%
above $72,000 on March 22?
18%
$80,000 in March?
16%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
12%
above $72,000 on March 21?
6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
4%
$85,000 in March?
3%
$72,000 on March 20?
3%
above $74,000 on March 22?
2%
$73,000 on March 20?
2%
$74,000 on March 20?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
1%
above $76,000 on March 22?
1%
$90,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
above $78,000 on March 22?
1%
$95,000 in March?
1%
above $74,000 on March 21?
0%
$100,000 in March?
0%
$110,000 in March?
0%
$105,000 in March?
0%
above $80,000 on March 22?
0%
$150,000 in March?
0%
above $82,000 on March 22?
0%
above $76,000 on March 21?
0%
$75,000 on March 20?
0%
above $80,000 on March 21?
0%
above $78,000 on March 21?
0%
$76,000 on March 20?
0%
$78,000 on March 20?
0%
$77,000 on March 20?
0%

41 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-30.8pp

Key Moments

First recorded

33% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Biggest move: -11.0pp

29% → 18%

Mar 20, 2026

Current

2% YES (-2.6pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢
Edge

+11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 96¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+11.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 20?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $80K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 20?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1658758

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

~

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.

⊕

Event Cluster

All markets about the same event across venues.

↓

Download 90d CSV

Full price history for your own analysis.